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NBA Finals – A Little ‘What If…’ Scenario

In the summer of 2010, as the Heat purged as many free agents as possible in their successful effort to land Lebron & Bosh, a very nice SG/SF exited Miami for the West Coast, off to Golden State. Dorell Wright signed a very modest, under-the-radar deal – 3 yrs, an average of $3.8m/yr. Meanwhile, after landing their Big 2, the Heat were scrambling for bodies and felt ‘lucky’ to sign Mike Miller to a veterans exemption deal of $5.6m/yr, for 4 yrs guaranteed.

Miller missed the first half of the season, and then came back to sink 1 trey a game, on 36.4% shooting – on 3’s, 40.1% overall – and grab 4.5 rebs a game. In Northern CA, Wright had a career yeer, hitting over 2 treys a game while averaging over 5 rebs, 3 assists, 1.5 stls, and 16.4 pts per game. Wright is also almost 6 yrs younger than the 31 old Miller, and far more versatile and athletic. Obviously Wright’s numbers would have been much more subdued in Miami, but the prospect of having a more complete, athletic, younger, cheaper player with very nice size (6′ 9″) must keep management wondering just a bit…”what if we’d kept Wright? Would this Dallas series be so close? And will Miller be worth anything close to the $6m/yr he’ll be paid during the last two years of his deal?”

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